Monday, October 31, 2016

Donald Trump Owes Former Pollster $776K

By Leigh Ann Caldwell
Oct 31 2016

Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump owes a former pollster three-quarters of a million dollars records from the Federal Election Commission show.

In the latest filings, which are updated daily because of the close proximity to Election Day, show that Trump is contesting a $766,756 bill from the polling firm Fabrizio, Lee & Associates. The news was first reported by the Washington Post.

Trump hired his first pollster in May. Tony Fabrizio was an ally of Trump's second de facto campaign manager Paul Manafort, but was let go during the last shake up when Manafort was fired and Trump hired Steve Bannon and pollster Kellyanne Conway to run his campaign.


Trump has a long history and dozens of lawsuits recounting his refusal to pay his employees and contractors.

Reid: FBI has ‘explosive information’ about Trump, Russia

By Julian Hattem
10/31/16

Sen. Harry Reid (D-Nev.) is alleging that the FBI has “explosive information” about a connection between Donald Trump and the Russian government, suggesting that federal investigators have unveiled damning new information about the Republican presidential nominee.

In a letter dated Oct. 30 warning that FBI Director James Comey may have broken the law by detailing a new stage of the investigation into Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email server while secretary of State, Reid also referenced information about Trump and Moscow.

“In my communications with you and other top officials in the national security community, it has become clear that you possess explosive information about close ties and coordination between Donald Trump, his top advisors and the Russian government — a foreign interest openly hostile to the United States, which Trump praises at every opportunity,” Reid wrote to Comey this weekend.

“The public has a right to know this information.”

The Senate Democratic leader declined to offer additional details about the information or clarify how federal officials had discovered it.
A Reid spokesman, Adam Jentleson, said that Reid "has been briefed by the highest levels of the national security community and is aware that Comey has the information."

Reid has a history of making damning allegations against prominent Republicans without the facts to back them up. In 2012, for instance, Reid memorably took to the floor of the Senate to accuse then-GOP nominee Mitt Romney of not paying any taxes over the previous decade. The allegation turned out to be incorrect, though Reid has refused to apologize.

Nonetheless, his allegations over the weekend add new evidence to speculation that the FBI is actively investigating Trump’s potential ties to Russia, which have been a topic of fascination for months.

The GOP nominee has shown an unusual amount of support for Russian President Vladimir Putin, who is usually a topic of scorn among Republicans in Washington.

Trump has refused to accept federal intelligence officials’ assertion that the Kremlin is intentionally interfering with the U.S. political system by hacking into organizations such as the Democratic National Committee. An adviser to Trump also reportedly met with Russian officials, raising eyebrows about the campaign's behavior.

Yet Comey has previously declined to address speculation about whether the bureau is actively probing any connections between the GOP nominee and Putin’s government.

“I’m not confirming that we’re investigating people associated with Mr. Trump,” Comey told the House Judiciary Committee in September, after initially claiming the Clinton matter was closed. “In the matter of the email investigation, it was our my judgment — my judgment, the rest of the FBI’s judgment — that those were exceptional circumstances where the public needed information.”


On Friday, Comey notified Congress that FBI officials had discovered additional emails in the Clinton case, adding drama in the final days of the presidential race.

The first big voter fraud case of 2016 was by a Donald Trump supporter

By Matthew Rozsa
Oct 31,2016

Well, Donald Trump finally found a voter who’s rigging the 2016 election. In true Halloween fashion, the vote was coming from inside the camp.

When asked about why she attempted to vote twice in this election, Terri Rote told Iowa Public Radio, “I wasn’t planning on doing it twice, it was spur of the moment. The polls are rigged.”

Rote has also expressed rather regressive views on racial issues on social media. In one post, she denounced what she perceived as “violent protests” in Charlotte by Black Lives Matter activists; in another, she criticized NFL players protesting the national anthem for “showing how stupid they are”; in a third, she described an altercation involving an African American family at a supermarket as “another black bitch starting shit.”



Polk County Auditor Jamie Fitzgerald observed to the Des Moines Register on Thursday that this was the first time in 12 years someone had tried to vote twice on Election Day. It was the third case of fraud overall, but on the previous two occasions, individuals who had previously voted through a mail-in ballot also tried to vote on Election Day itself.

Rote paid a $5,000 bond on Friday to be released from jail, but if convicted, she could face up to five years in prison.


The intolerable Donald Trump

NEW YORK DAILY NEWS
October 30, 2016

The prospect of millions of Americans voting for Hillary Clinton is causing some Trump supporters to lose their minds. Former Illinois tea party Rep. Joe Walsh posted on Twitter: "On November 9th, if Trump loses, I'm grabbing my musket. You in?" Walsh was bounced out of the house in 2012 after one term — showing the Illinois voters had good sense. But this stupid incendiary remark of his should be disowned and denounced by Trump himself.

It must be enraging to him that he is failing — through his own blunders — and he now has a duty to the Americans who voted for him, and those who didn't, to accept the nation's verdict and show respect for our democracy. The nonsense of a rigged election must cease.

Hillary Clinton has all but measured the drapes for the Oval Office. The editors of the cerebral New Yorker magazine in its issue dated Oct. 31, 2016 have preemptively celebrated the country's escape from Donald Trump that they expect on Nov. 8. His defeat, whether presumed or real, leaves the Republican Party bitterly and apparently irrevocably divided between what Trump has lambasted as a corrupt establishment and insurgent hard-right populists he supports when he feels like it and is not too busy opening hotels and golf courses.

But as Yogi Berra told us "it ain't over till it's over." A prime example is when Chicago was humiliated years before in the presidential election of 1948, when the Chicago Tribune went to press with a splash headline, "Dewey Defeats Truman." The ultimately victorious incumbent, like Trump, had become a national joke. The rock-hard Republican Tribune had enjoyed itself mocking Truman in doggerel, "Look at little Truman now, muddy, battered, bruised — and how!"


The Trib had reason. Truman's approval ratings had peaked at 87% after taking over from Franklin Delano Roosevelt, had reached a new low of 32% in 1946. Ten percent of the labor force was on strike and in the midterms, Republicans won the House and took back the Senate. Newsweek polled 50 leading political writers and found not one prediction for Truman. Truman was up to the shock. "I know every one of these 50 fellows," he said. "There isn't one of them has enough sense to pound sand in a rat hole."

And so it proved in the presidential election that fall of 1948. Truman barnstormed across the country, assaulting the "do-nothing Congress" at every whistle-stop of a campaign that covered 20,000 miles. "Give 'em hell, Harry," was the cry from huge crowds, and he did. He won 303 electoral votes to Dewey's 189 (with the Dixiecrat Strom Thurmond scoring 39). The pollsters had done too little late polling, failed to account for the large undecided pool and the lack of real fire among the Dewey supporters — 13% of them stayed at home, a terrifying prospect for the Republican Party Nov. 8 with so many of its leaders disaffected with Trump's serial scandals.

There must have been a few tremors in Democratic hearts last week when a new Bloomberg poll in Florida raised a fear that Trump, even now, might just pull a Truman, assisted by the Obamacare cost increases and more mischievous WikiLeaks. The Florida poll gave Trump a 2 percentage point edge in the Sunshine State, where Clinton had been ahead. I have reservations about Clinton, but I've made my opinion clear that I think a Trump presidency would be a disaster for the United States. I've gone into the reasons in successive editorials on the economy, defense, human rights, foreign policy and our standing in the world.

I've tried to be fair in assessing policy — but Trump policy is baffling. Researchers at NBC News have cataloged his positions on major issues since the start of the campaign. They have found 19 different positions on immigration reform; 15 different positions on banning Muslims; nine different positions on how to defeat the Islamic State group; eight different positions on raising the minimum wage; seven different tax plans; and eight different strategies for dealing with the national debt. And the more or less consistent persistent positions are the scariest — more nukes and denigration of the president of the United States coupled with admiration for the Russian dictator.


It is intolerable that any American citizen would encourage one of the world's leading enemies of freedom, Vladimir Putin, to interfere in our election; and for a presidential candidate to do it is tantamount to treason against our democracy — and at a time when the same Putin is bombing hospitals and relief aid in Aleppo (a distinct failure of Obama policy). Trump didn't even know Russia had invaded the Ukraine.

There is also the question of Trump's insensitivity to human decency in the treatment of fellow citizens who happen to be minorities. Famously, Trump has relied on Twitter to unleash a steady stream of juvenile attacks. By The New York Times' running account, he has insulted 282 people, places and things — usually multiple times. That is to say nothing of the half of the population who still do not enjoy the equal rights that many politicians forget, especially Republicans, when they speak about a devotion to our Constitution.

Some of the resistance to Hillary Clinton is based on doubt about her character, but there is still also a subliminal doubt about gender. A new study by the Rockefeller Foundation finds that gender inequality in the workplace is one the biggest issues facing corporate America today. Women hold just 4% of leadership positions in Fortune 500 companies. "[IN 2016] 90% of new CEOs were promoted or hired from roles with profit and loss responsibility and 100% of them were men," according to the study.

Women generally earn 78 cents on the dollar, 64 cents if they are black, 54 cents if they are Latinas. It is well said, by Michelle Obama and others, that Trump's misogyny has taken American women back to a much darker time they thought they'd left behind — a time when their bodies were more important than their minds and the far darker time when their forebears were literally the property of their masters. But this is understating Trump's innate intolerance and selfish disregard for the rights of others.


Many Trumpians will vote for someone they see as a successful businessman. They seem blithely unaware of how Trump does business. He is a brilliant marketer. He has done some things very well, like restoring the Wollman ice skating rink in New York's Central Park, and some things very badly when his reach exceeds his grasp. We have had, for short times, Trump Shuttle, Trump Steaks, Trump Vodka, Trump Mortgage, Trump Magazine, a franchise in the defunct United States Football League.

That's fair enough and he may do well to bounce from aspirations to the presidency to imitating Rupert Murdoch at Trump TV with Roger Ailes at his side. But the striking fact is how in all these activities, he insulated himself when he recklessly led his companies into four bankruptcies. He ruined lenders and shareholders who put their trust in his razzle dazzle. He has no shame at stiffing people: They are all losers to him.

"The money I took out of there was incredible," he told The New York Times. He has stiffed so many people. A Wall Street Journal review of court filings from jurisdictions in 33 states found many cheated vendors, including a chandelier shop, a curtain maker and a lawyer. All said that Trump's companies had reneged on paying for goods or services. Hundreds of vendors told USA Today, too, that Trump had stiffed them. A Philadelphia cabinet-maker Edward Friel, contracted to build the bases for slot machines, registration desks, bars and furnishings at Harrah's at Trump Plaza in Atlantic City said Trump never paid the firm the final $83,600 he owed.

In 2005, he launched Trump University, promising that his very own hand-picked instructors would teach students the master's real estate investing secrets. "At Trump University, we teach success," Trump said in a video. "It's going to happen to you." The venture defied New York State orders to stop illegally using the word "university" in its name and a number of Trump University's experts had little to no real estate experience, had never met Trump and failed to deliver the promised education.


Thousands of enrollees are suing after paying between $20,000 to $60,000 for courses that proved worthless. New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman has labeled Trump University a fraud. Are the Trumpians still yelling at his rallies unaware or don't they care?

What a Trump presidency would look like is neatly captured in another big city newspaper. Here are headlines on a mock front page of the Boston Globe for April 9, 2017:

"Deportations to Begin!"

"ICE Force Riots Continue!"

"Curfews Extended in Multiple Cities"

"US Soldiers Refuse Order to kill ISIS families!"

"Markets Sink as Trade War Looms"

"New Libel Law Targets 'Absolute Scum' in Press"

We could think of more worrying headlines that might erupt from a Trump presidency, but the immediate anxiety threatens to come from the disappointed and demoralized party. A Democratic Senate seems within reach, even possibly containment of the tea party gerrymandered into capricious power in the House. Even that is achievable if voters want change, as they say they do after the polarized years that helped to produce the Trump phenomenon.

There are surely pragmatic bipartisan measures a President Hillary Clinton could pursue with sensible leaders like House Speaker Paul Ryan: Mend but not attempt to replace the Affordable Care Act; agree to the start of her great infrastructure program; legislate a whole new program of retraining.


But if the House Freedom Caucus has its way and we enter gridlock yet again, the opposition will deserve the contempt of the mass of fair-minded people for betraying America's best hopes for a new beginning.

What is the Hatch Act? A quick primer on the federal law Harry Reid claims James Comey has violated

NEW YORK DAILY NEWS
October 30, 2016

Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid says FBI Director James Comey may have violated a federal law when he wrote a letter to Congress detailing why the agency reopened Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton's case to investigate the email server she used as secretary of state.

Reid drafted a letter to Comey Sunday night explaining how he had violated the Hatch Act by interfering with the presidential election and for having a preference toward the Republican Party.

"I'm writing to inform you that my office has determined that these actions violate the Hatch Act, which bars FBI officials from using their official authority to influence an election," Reid wrote.

He accused Comey of having close ties with Republican nominee Donald Trump, his top advisors, and the Russian government, which Trump has repeatedly named throughout his campaign and in the last presidential debate.


What exactly is the Hatch Act? The Daily News explains: The Hatch Act is a federal law that was passed in 1939 by President Franklin D. Roosevelt to limit federal agencies or its employees from interfering with political activities or federally funded programs.

This means federal employees can’t hold fund-raisers for politicians or receive donations, but they can vote for or against candidates running in an election, the law states.

The law was created because Republicans and Democrats suspected Roosevelt and his colleagues of obtaining power, according to the Washington Post.

The U.S. Office of Special Counsel is in charge of investigating Hatch Act violations.


The law also pertains to the use of social media and emails. The OSC provides several tips on its website on how to avoid violations.

The agency suggests federal employees should not engage in political activity in the workplace or express opinions. Liking or sharing statuses on Facebook and Twitter should also be avoided.

A recent example of a Hatch Act violation involved Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julian Castro during an interview with Yahoo News anchor Katie Couric in April 2016.

The OSC found that Castro violated the law when Couric asked him about his chances of becoming the Clinton's vice presidential nominee, according to Politico.


The watchdog group wrote a letter to President Obama stating, "OSC concluded that Secretary Castro violated the Hatch Act by advocating for and against Presidential candidates while giving a media interview in his official capacity on April 4, 2016."

Castro, who was appointed by the President to serve as housing secretary, admitted in a response letter to the OSC that he had violated the Hatch Act by offering his opinion in the interview, but that it was not his intent.

Another example of a Hatch Act violation involved former Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius who was accused of making "extemporaneous partisan remarks," during a government event, the OSC found, according to Politico.

In 2012, Sebelius said at a Human Rights Campaign Gala that Lt. Gov. Walter Dalton "needs to be the next governor of North Carolina," and also highlighted the Obama administration's achievements, Politico reported.

Sebelius resigned in April 2014, not because of her Hatch Act debacle, but due to an Obamacare fallout, sources told Politico.


The FBI did not immediately respond to questions regarding potential violations of the Hatch Act.

Trump's last-minute bid to turn the tide

October 27, 2016

Republican candidate tells rallies the November 8 election will be like "Brexit five times over".

Donald Trump believes his rallies are a window to the future.

He's ignoring the polls - even his own internal efforts - which say he's going to lose.

Instead he sees hundreds, thousands, turning up at venues in key swing states and that leads him to believe his campaign has a hidden strength.

He invokes the memory of Brexit in the UK, where the polls suggested a referendum question on Britain leaving the European Union would be defeated, only to be proven wrong.

He's told rallies that the election will be like "Brexit five times over".

And he thinks come election day the "movement" he says he's created, the silent majority, will turn out in strength and sweep him to victory.

He initially claimed he would win states where Republicans haven't challenged in years. He honestly believed he could win his home state of New York and neighboring Connecticut. He thought New Jersey was in play and he could even win California.

None of those states are in play. Hillary Clinton will win them all easily.

Now the race is narrowing and it comes down to essentially four states: Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and New Hampshire.

'Drain the swamp'

Despite every reliable metric available, his campaign believe Trump's closing arguments are turning voters.

His argument that he will "drain the swamp" in Washington has struck a chord with people, angry at the political inaction in the nation's capital. They like the idea he will tackle corruption, rid the power structures of vested interests and change the face of politics in America.

Trump himself admitted at a rally in North Carolina on Wednesday that initially he wasn't keen on the phrase but seeing how people chant it out at events, he now admits "I love it".

While it fits with his claim that he is an outsider who can bring change, it may have come too late in a campaign where so much has happened and people's attitudes about the Republican contender have hardened.

He has also latched on to the idea of term limits for senators and those serving in Congress. While it's highly unlikely to happen, it once again puts Trump in role of the outsider railing against the system.

Just in the past few days he's been handed a political gift, which in any other year may have been a winner.

New figures show premiums paid under the Affordable Care Act, or Obamacare as it's come to be known, will rise on average by around 25 percent. In one state the rise is more than 100 percent.

For someone who very early on argued that he will "repeal and replace Obamacare" (even though he initially suggested a socialised medical system such as the National Health Service in the UK where it is paid for through taxes and free at the point of delivery) this gives him another stick with which to beat his opponent.

Clinton has acknowledged there are problems with the AHCA, but she would try to fix it rather than ditch it. Hated by many Republicans since its inception, the premium rises put Trump on the side of the little guy struggling to pay his bills.

WikiLeaks dump

There are many who believe the trove of information released by WikiLeaks from the Democratic National Committee and Clinton's campaign should also help Trump. The problem with that is there is no big bombshell, nothing that is hugely damaging.

Few people are paying attention because it has little impact on their lives and feels more like the internal machinations and whines of a political campaign.

WikiLeaks says there's more to come. Trump surrogates insist there is one more big story ready to drop. But with more than five million people already making their choice in early voting, you're left wondering if there was something devastating to be revealed why it wasn't wheeled out earlier when the damage inflicted could have been greater.

All of the messages Trump is hammering in the final days will play well at his rallies.

The polls still suggest he is going to lose.


He has 12 days to prove them wrong. And that he's been right all along.

Saturday, October 29, 2016

Donald Trump supporter in Iowa arrested for voter fraud as Trump continues to call election 'rigged' against him

By Chris Sommerfeld
October 29, 2016

And the first arrest for attempted voter fraud in the 2016 election goes to a Donald Trump supporter in Iowa.

Terri Rote, 55, was arrested on first-degree election misconduct charges after trying to vote for the GOP nominee at two separate polling stations in Des Moines Thursday, according to the Des-Moines Register.

Rote, a registered Republican, first showed up to the Polk County Election Office to submit an early ballot, and shortly thereafter went to a county satellite voting location with a second ballot. The voter fraud offense she was booked on is a Class D felony that could land her in jail for up to five years if convicted.

She was initially being held at the Polk County Jail on a $5,000 bond, but was later released, according to records.

Rote’s voter fraud arrest comes as the man she voted for is doubling-down on claims the election is “rigged.” Trump has repeatedly refused to say whether he would accept the outcome of the election if he ends up not winning, which political experts say could have very serious — and possibly violent — consequences.

Early voting in the Hawkeye State started on Sept. 29, and Polk County alone reported three cases of suspected voter fraud as of Saturday. Rote, however, was the only one arrested.
A tweet from February showed Rote toting a Trump sign with a caption saying she was planning on caucusing for the Republican nominee.

The election fraudster’s Facebook page features numerous blatantly racist posts as well as a slew of grammatically challenged pro-Trump rants.

“You black lives doesn’t matter (sic),” she wrote in a post sharing a newscast from the riots in Charlotte, North Carolina, after the fatal police shooting of a black man there in September.


“Run their assess over (sic),” she captioned another post sharing a video of more Charlotte protesters. 

Someone Was Actually Arrested For In-Person Voter Fraud. She’s A Trump Supporter.

By Nico Pitney
10/28/2016

Donald Trump regularly claims that the presidential election is “rigged” against him, thanks in part to “all too common” instances of voter fraud. “Watch Philadelphia. Watch St. Louis. Watch Chicago, watch Chicago. Watch so many other places,” the GOP nominee urged his supporters at a recent rally.

Election experts typically respond by pointing out that instances of fraud by voters at the polls are actually remarkably rare.

But they do happen. Case in point: Police in Des Moines, Iowa, said Friday that they had arrested Terri Lynn Rote, 55, on suspicion of voting twice in the general election.
Rote, a registered Republican, allegedly submitted ballots at two different early-voting locations in Polk County, Iowa, according to local media reports. She has been charged with first-degree election misconduct, a felony.

“I wasn’t planning on doing it twice. It was a spur of the moment,” Rote told Iowa Public Radio. “The polls are rigged.” She said she feared her first vote for Trump would be changed to a vote for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

In February, a reporter for The Blaze, a conservative website run by Glenn Beck, interviewed and photographed Rote, who was then planning to support Trump in the Iowa caucuses.

The Polk County auditor said this was the first instance of alleged voter fraud he could remember in 12 years, while the county prosecutor called it one of the few examples he’d seen in his 25 years of work.


According to police, two other unnamed suspects are accused of casting mail-in ballots and also voting in person, but they have not been arrested.

Friday, October 28, 2016

Is Trump driving female voters to turn away from the GOP?

PBS
October 27, 2016

JUDY WOODRUFF: And now we turn to the allegations that Donald Trump, and some of his surrogates, have not only alienated, but declared war on women this election cycle, this on a day when another woman has come forward to accuse Trump of groping her, bringing the total number of accusers now to at least 12.
The former Miss Finland in the 2006 Miss Universe Pageant charges that he grabbed her from behind as they were being photographed together.
HILLARY CLINTON (D), Presidential Nominee: What we want to do is to replenish the Social Security Trust Fund…
DONALD TRUMP (R), Presidential Nominee: Such a nasty woman.
JUDY WOODRUFF: The “nasty woman” interjection at the last debate, Donald Trump standing right behind Hillary Clinton during the second debate, the “Access Hollywood” audiotape from 2005 in which he boasted of groping women.
DONALD TRUMP: And when you’re a star they let you do it. You can do anything.
BILLY BUSH: Whatever you want.
DONALD TRUMP: Grab them by the (WORD DELETED).
JUDY WOODRUFF: And subsequent allegations by women who say Trump grabbed or inappropriately kissed them in the past.
It’s all taking a toll. A poll by the Public Religion Research Institute found evangelical Christian women, in particular, are breaking away; 58 percent support Trump, compared to 77 percent who voted for Mitt Romney in 2012. Plus, a third of Republican women in Congress have defected from Trump.
But the nominee’s male surrogates are on the offensive. This week, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich scolded FOX News anchor Megyn Kelly.
FORMER REP. NEWT GINGRICH, Former Speaker of the House: You are fascinated with sex, and you don’t care about public policy.
MEGYN KELLY, FOX News: Me, really?
NEWT GINGRICH: That’s what I get out of watching you tonight.
MEGYN KELLY: You know what, Mr. Speaker, I am not fascinated by sex, but I am fascinated by the protection of women and understanding what we’re getting in the Oval Office.
NEWT GINGRICH: OK.
MEGYN KELLY: And I think the American voters would like to know…
NEWT GINGRICH: And, therefore, we are going to send Bill Clinton back to the East Wing, because, after all, you are worried about sexual predators.
JUDY WOODRUFF: The exchange elicited praise from Trump yesterday.
DONALD TRUMP: We don’t play games, Newt, right? We don’t play games.
JUDY WOODRUFF: But the Clinton campaign is hoping to capitalize.
DONALD TRUMP: I would look her right in that fat ugly face of hers.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Using Trump’s own language about women in ads that show young girls looking in the mirror.
And, today, in North Carolina, the candidate had this to say:
HILLARY CLINTON: I wish I didn’t have to say this, but, indeed, dignity and respect for women and girls is also on the ballot in this election.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Now, less than two weeks from Election Day, several polls show Clinton leading among women by even more than President Obama’s 11-point margin four years ago.
To explore what’s behind some of those numbers and the fears from some Republicans that their party may be alienating female voters for years to come, we are joined by Missy Shorey, executive director of Maggie’s List. It’s a political action group that works to elect conservative women to Congress. And Christine Matthews, she is a Republican pollster and president of Bellwether Research.
And we welcome both of you to the “NewsHour.”
Let me start with you, Christine Matthews.
Someone you know, I’m sure, Nicolle Wallace, tweeted this week — and I’m quoting — she said: “Republicans are engaged in a hot war,” her words, “against women that will end badly for the party.”
How do you see what’s going on right now?
CHRISTINE MATTHEWS, Bellwether Research: I agree.
The whole tenor and tone of this campaign has been one in which women voters have been casualties. I think, you know, we have really turned off women. I think the gains that we made as a party in 2014 sort of on the heels of recovering from 2012, where two Senate candidates unfortunately used rape analogies in very unfortunate ways, we have made progress.
I think this election cycle, we have completely regressed, and we’re going to — I think we’re going to see a historic gender gap in the lines of 20-plus points.
JUDY WOODRUFF: When you say “we have regressed,” what are you referring to?
CHRISTINE MATTHEWS: What I mean, is, you know, the — basically, the Democrats have always said, you know, Republicans are waging a war on women.
And I think that we started in 2014 to have conversations that moved us past that. Again, we had the unfortunate comments in 2012 about rape.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Right.
CHRISTINE MATTHEWS: And, in 2014, I think we had some constructive conversations. We won Senate races in most of our battleground state. And we had sort of moved beyond that.
And now not only are we seen as not sort of modern or with the era. We’re seen as completely regressive cavemen, actually.
JUDY WOODRUFF: You mean because of comments by Donald Trump, by other Republican men supporting him?
CHRISTINE MATTHEWS: I think because of Donald Trump primarily. He set the tone for this. He set it in the primary when he attacked Carly Fiorina’s face and said, you know, “Look at that face. Is that presidential?”
And it went downhill from there. And I don’t think that we have seen a lot of Republican men stepping up and saying this is — they have said it’s unacceptable. But the problem is, and the rub, is, in many cases, they’re still supporting Donald Trump. And I think the women in the party feel very, I have to say betrayed, yes.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Missy Shorey, as a woman in the Republican Party, how do you see all this?
MISSY SHOREY, Maggie’s List: Well, thank you, Judy. This is a very important conversation.
And the way that we really need to look at it is, this is a raw moment in politics. We don’t have a perfect candidate. But at the end of the day, this election is really going to come down to our future. It is a pocketbook issue. It is an issue where families and women and children deserve to have more opportunity and, quite frankly, much more responsible government.
And, in many ways, the conversation, the dialogue we’re having today is so distracting, because the real issues at hand are being utterly ignored.
JUDY WOODRUFF: So, you’re saying that you don’t take seriously the concerns about what Donald Trump said in that audiotape, the “Access Hollywood” tape, and the accusations by the women who have come forward?
MISSY SHOREY: Absolutely, Judy, everyone takes it seriously. Everyone is concerned, and everyone knows that that behavior is not acceptable.
Mr. Trump has apologized, and I have accepted his apology. And, as a result, many people do. But this is a tough year. And people are going to have to look and say, where do they want the future of the party to be? Do they want our values of less government and opportunity to go away? Do we want issues of security to be taken off the table?
And, instead, essentially, we’re doing — we’re looking at a terrible personal behavior, as opposed to really looking at the policies taking us forward. And that’s what’s going to keep the party going.
And Christine is absolutely right. This is a very tough time for us, but it’s very important we stand up for our own values.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Christine Matthews, what she’s saying is, the pocketbook economic issues are more important than any of this.
CHRISTINE MATTHEWS: I don’t think — well, I would respectfully disagree.
I think that what Donald Trump has done, the tone that he has set for this campaign has been so damaging, that it’s very difficult to have a conversation about pocketbook issues. It’s so over the top, it’s so distracting, it’s so disrespectful.
I, for one, am not beyond that. For me — and I think every woman has to struggle with this. Every Republican consultant that I know, every woman, this is all we talk about, how difficult this is, how stressful this is, how, you know — with two other women consultants, I started a firm that was supposed to help us talk to Republican women, or all women, really.
And we feel like we have been almost slapped in the face by this kind of conversation that we’re having. And, for me, I’m not going to be supporting Donald Trump. I never was and I never will.
The question for myself and other Republican consultants, other women voters is, then what? What do you do? It’s not like there’s a full embrace of Hillary Clinton on the Republican side. You know, Republican women don’t like her either. So then the question is, what do you do?
JUDY WOODRUFF: Well, let me come back to Missy Shorey.
You hear what she is — you hear what Christine is saying, that when Republican women get together, they can’t get past what has happened in this campaign.
MISSY SHOREY: Well, maybe some people, that’s their case, and maybe that’s kind of a mind-set of a consultant.
But for those of us who are grassroots activists, we have to respect democracy. Millions of people came out and voted in the primaries on a level they never have before. And, as a result, there is something there. There’s a chord that Donald Trump has touched on.
Now, do I share her concerns on many levels? Yes, I do, and I think every woman does. But this is not going to be the only issue that’s here. We really need to look at the bigger picture. We need to look at — and I also say, let’s elect more women to office, so we have more options going forward.
Let’s look at the future of what’s there. And I will tell you that when I speak with my other Republican women, yes, this comes up, but it’s not the only thing we’re talking about. We’re talking about many things, in terms of, do we want a culture of corruption going forward that we have seen with the Clinton White House and we will see in the next one? Or do we want a situation where we can have opportunity, we can have economic prosperity and we can have security?
Those are things that are important, and that we can get the kind of Supreme Court that we need for this country to protect our constitutional rights that just have not been brought there. These are things that people are having a hard time getting into and past because of the issues at hand. They are serious, but they’re not the only issues.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Christine Matthews, what about her comment that, well, consultants may feel this way, but we’re out here in the trenches?
CHRISTINE MATTHEWS: Well, OK, so, I am a consultant, but I also do research among women voters.
And I have to say that women voters are expressing despair. Republican women voters, independent women voters, I’m seeing words used like despair, agony. They are very unhappy with what they have seen in terms of how Donald Trump has talked about women.
So, it’s not just like the professional class in D.C. that is concerned about this. I am. My friends here are, but so are the voters. So are women that I talk to as part of my research every day.
JUDY WOODRUFF: How do you see this getting resolved? I want to ask both of you this question.
CHRISTINE MATTHEWS: Yes.
You know, I am concerned, actually. I think the Republican roster is going to shrink. I think a number of women who worked in this field, who have worked in this field for decades are going to declare themselves free agents. And they’re going to say, a party that basically rejected other qualified candidates and is supporting Donald Trump, a party who, you know, we’re seeing, because of Donald Trump, you know, Vladimir Putin’s favorability is rising, Paul Ryan’s shrinking. Where is my role in this?
And so I think you are going to see a number of women say, my time and talent are worth something, and I’m not sure this is something I’m going to continue to do.
JUDY WOODRUFF: Missy Shorey, how do you see this getting resolved?
MISSY SHOREY: I think the ultimate resolution is for us to really look and say, what do we stand for as individuals, as Americans, and where do we see the future of this country, and really standing up for policies and programs, for example, the better way that Paul Ryan has put forward, and the first 100 days of what Donald Trump has said.
Is he a perfect candidate? No. But the reality is, we have to weigh the future of our country with this. I do think we have a lot of soul-searching to do as a party. Christine is absolutely right. But the issue is, do we let other people define who we are as a party, or do we embrace our principles, move forward and relentlessly advocate for them?
JUDY WOODRUFF: Well, we — I know that both of you are going to be continuing to think about this hard until Election Day and beyond.
Missy Shorey, we thank you. Christine Matthews, thank you for joining us.

CHRISTINE MATTHEWS: Thank you.